PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
840 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011
...SEVERAL STORM SURVEYS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED CONCERNING STORMS
WHICH OCCURRED APRIL 25 AND APRIL 26...
THIS DAMAGE OCCURRED OVER A TWO DAY PERIOD BEGINNING MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD
DAMAGE NOTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE REGION TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
BECAUSE OF THE NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DAMAGE WITH MULTIPLE
TORNADO WARNINGS ISSUED...IT WILL TAKE SEVERAL DAYS TO BEGIN
COMPLETING THE NECESSARY STORM DAMAGE SURVEYS ACROSS THE REGION.
AS SURVEYS ARE COMPLETED...TORNADOES WILL BE PLACED IN
CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER. DAMAGE SURVEYED WHICH IS DETERMINED TO BE NON
TORNADIC WILL BE PLACED AT THE END.
1. TATUM, TX
RATING: EF1
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 6:35 PM THROUGH 6:54 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 100 YDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED AT THEIR BASE AND HAD LARGE LIMBS BROKEN
OFF WITH THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN ALONG CR 2138 SOUTHWEST OF TATUM.
IT CONTINUED ALONG A NORTHEAST PATH WHERE IT DESTROYED A STORAGE
OUTBUILDING AND UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES AT THE INTERSECTION OF FM
2187 AND HWY 149. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST WHERE IT
UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES AND RIPPED OFF THE TOPS OF SEVERAL MORE
ALONG CR 2216 AND CR 2221. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST
WHERE NUMEROUS TREE DAMAGE ALONG A PARALLEL PATH WITH HENDRICKS
LAKE ROAD WAS NOTED. THE TORNADO THEN BRIEFLY CROSSED INTO PANOLA
AND HARRISON COUNTIES KNOCKING OVER A FEW TREES ALONG HWY 43,
WHERE THE TORNADO THEN LIFTED. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 13.8 MILES AND
MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80-85 MPH.
2. 4 MILES SSE OF MARSHALL, TX
RATING: EF2
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 7:04 PM THROUGH 7:14 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 400 YDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED AT THEIR BASE AND HAD LARGE LIMBS BROKEN
OFF WITH THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN ALONG FM 2625 JUST WEST OF HWY
59. THE TORNADO PARALLELED FM 2625 CAUSING SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE
UNTIL IT REACHED THE INTERSECTION OF FM 2625 AND TAYLOR ROAD. THE
TORNADO STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY IN A SHORT TIME FRAME, CAUSING EF2
DAMAGE TO TWO RESIDENTIAL HOMES AND EF1 DAMAGE TO A THIRD. ONE
HOUSE COMPLETELY LOST ITS ROOF WHILE ANOTHER HAD AN ENTIRE ROOM
DESTROYED. THE THIRD HOME HAD ITS METAL ROOF PEELED OFF WHILE
SUSTAINING PARTIAL WALL FAILURE. NUMEROUS TREES IN THE VICINITY OF
THE HOMES WERE COMPLETELY TOPPLED OR HAD THEIR TOPS SHEARED OFF.
THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST WHERE IT INTERSECTED
BLOCKER ROAD NEAR FM 2625 SNAPPING AND UPROOTING NUMEROUS TREES.
THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST DISSIPATING OVER A LOGGING
ROAD A MILE TO THE EAST OF BLOCKER RD. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 5.5
MILES AND MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120-125 MPH.
3. JONESVILLE, TX
RATING: EF0
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 7:24 PM THROUGH 7:34 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 70 YDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED WITH THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN ALONG AND JUST
NORTH I-20, NEAR THE HWY 80 EXIT JUST WEST OF WASKOM. THE TORNADO
CONTINUED NORTHEAST CAUSING SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE ALONG BELLVIEW
ROAD. THE TORNADO THEN CONTINUED NORTHEAST WHERE IT TOPPLED
SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND KNOCKED DOWN LARGE LIMBS ALONG CONCORD
ROAD BETWEEN FM 134 AND OWEN GEORGE ROAD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEAST WHERE IT TOOK THE TOPS OFF OF A FEW TREES ALONG OWEN
GEORGE ROAD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST KNOCKING OVER A FEW
TREES ALONG FM 9, WHERE IT FINALLY DISSIPATED. THE PATH LENGTH WAS
5.94 MILES AND MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70-75 MPH.
4. BENTON, LA
RATING: EF0
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 7:34 PM THROUGH 7:39 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 50 YDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
SEVERAL LARGE TREES WERE TOPPLED AND A FEW LARGE LIMBS WERE BROKEN
OFF TREES AT THE ENTRANCE OF THE MAGNOLIA CHASE SUBDIVISION ALONG
BENTON ROAD JUST SOUTH OF THE CITY OF BENTON. THE TORNADO
CONTINUED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WHERE IT BROKE OFF LARGE LIMBS ON
A FEW TREES ALONG BENTON ROAD NEAR JACOBS TRAIL. THE TORNADO
CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST WHERE IT SNAPPED A TREE AT ITS BASE AND
KNOCKED DOWN A FEW LARGE LIMBS ALONG PALMETTO ROAD SOUTH OF THE
CITY OF BENTON. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST WHERE IT TOPPLED A
LARGE TREE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF LARKIN STREET AND PALMETTO
ROAD AND FINALLY DISSIPATED. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 3.57 MILES AND MAXIMUM
WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70-75 MPH.
5. KEACHI...FRIERSON, LA
RATING: EF2
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 7:46 PM THROUGH 8:39 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 0.5 MILES
INJURIES: 2
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN PANOLA COUNTY
TEXAS...DESOTO...CADDO AND BOSSIER PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND
TRACKED A LONG TRACK TORNADO. MOST OF THE DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH
CONSISTED OF EF0 TO EF1 TYPE DAMAGE. A FEW LOCATIONS NEAR KEACHI...LONGSTREET
AND FRIERSON EXHIBITED LOW END EF2 DAMAGE. THE TORNADO WAS
CONSISTENTLY ON THE GROUND FOR A CONTINUOUS 42 MILES. TREES WERE
SNAPPED AND UPROOTED...AND AS MANY AS 3 DOZEN HOMES SUSTAINED
MINOR DAMAGE WITH A FEW MODERATELY DAMAGED HOMES WHERE CARPORTS
WERE PEELED BACK OR TREES FELL ON THEM. SEVERAL BARNS WERE KNOCKED
OVER OR DESTROYED AS WELL. THE HEAVIEST DAMAGE WAS LOCATED IN THE
COMMUNITY OF FRIERSON WHERE WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED AND
THE TORNADO WAS AT ITS WIDEST POINT. OTHER DAMAGE ALONG AND JUST
SOUTH OF THE TORNADO TRACK IS RELATED TO REAR FLANK DOWNDRAFT
OTHERWISE KNOWN AS STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE TORNADO TRACKED FROM
EASTERN PANOLA COUNTY NEAR FM 3359 NORTHEAST INTO DESOTO PARISH
ACROSS BELLE BOWER TEXAS LINE ROAD...STATE ROUTE 3015 WHERE TREES
WERE SNAPPED OFF 4 TO 6 FEET OFF THE GROUND AND 2 TANKS FROM A GAS
WELL WERE OVERTURNED. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST CROSSING
STATE ROUTE 5 BETWEEN KEACHI AND LONGSTREET?THEN CROSSED SMYRNA
ROAD KNOCKING OVER TREES ONTO AND AROUND HOMES. THE TORNADO
CROSSED HWY 171 SOUTH OF THE HWY 5 AND 171 INTERSECTION AND
FOLLOWED ALONG JESSIE LATTIN WHERE A SEVERAL HOMES WERE DAMAGED
AND BARNS DESTROYED. THE STORM CONTINUED NORTHEAST CROSSING I49
WHERE RED BLUFF ROAD CROSSES UNDER. NUMEROUS TREES WERE DOWNED AND
INCREASED IN COVERAGE AS THE STORM MOVED INTO FRIERSON. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST CROSSING THE INTERSECTION OF ELLERBE
ROAD AND HWY 1 WHERE SEVERAL PECAN TREES WERE SNAPPED THEN ACROSS
THE RED RIVER INTO BOSSIER PARISH AND ACROSS ATKINS CLARK ROAD
WHERE A MOBILE TRAILER WAS FLIPPED AT A GAS WELL INJURING THE
OCCUPANTS. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST CROSSING HWY 154 AND
157 INTERSECTION DAMAGING TREES AND POWERLINES BEFORE WEAKENING
AND LIFTING NEAR LAKE BISTENEAU. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
110 - 115 MPH.
6. DUBBERLY, LA
RATING: EF1
DATE: ARPIL 26 2011
TIME: 8:54 PM THROUGH 8:57 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 150 YARDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN WEBSTER
PARISH LA NEAR DUBBERLY AND CONCLUDED THAT DAMAGE WAS THE RESULT
OF AN EF1 TORNADO. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED SOUTH
OF SIBLEY EAST OF 371. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST INTO
DUBBERLY WHERE SEVERAL HOMES SUSTAINED ROOF DAMAGE. NUMEROUS TREES
WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED ALONG HWY 531NORTH OF DUBBERLY. THE
TORNADO LIFTED AS IT APPROACHED INTERSTATE 20. THE STORM
RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS TORNADO IS THE SAME CELL THAT PRODUCED A 42
MILE LONG TRACK ACROSS DESOTO PARISH. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 95-105 MPH.
7. HALL SUMMIT, LA
RATING: EF1
DATE: APRIL 26 2011
TIME: 10:55 PM THROUGH 10:56 PM
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 125 YARDS
INJURIES: 0
FATALITIES: 0
DETAILS:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN
RED RIVER PARISH LA NEAR HALL SUMMIT AND CONCLUDED THAT DAMAGE
WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF1 TORNADO. A COUPLE BARNS WERE DESTROYED
WEST OF TOWN NORTH OF STATE ROUTE 514. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EAST
SNAPPING AND UPROOTING TREES ALONG 514. SEVERAL HOMES IN TOWN
SUSTAINED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CROSSED 514
EAST OF HALL SUMMIT WHERE NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED ONTO THE
ROAD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EAST CROSSING 371 KNOCKING OVER A FEW
TREES BEFORE LIFTING EAST OF 371. A SHERIFF DEPUTY WITNESSED THE
TORNADO CROSSING THE HWY EAST OF HALL SUMMIT AND WAS BLOCKED IN
FROM FALLING TREES. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 85-90 MPH.
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
Public Severe Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 261153
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-261800-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG LONG TRACK TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WIND OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A WARM FRONT THAT WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE
RED RIVER AREA OF TEXAS...EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AS AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE WITH POTENTIAL FOR LONG TRACK
STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WIND MAY ALSO INCREASE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO
RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..DIAL.. 04/26/2011
$$
WOUS40 KWNS 261153
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-261800-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG LONG TRACK TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WIND OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A WARM FRONT THAT WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE
RED RIVER AREA OF TEXAS...EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AS AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE WITH POTENTIAL FOR LONG TRACK
STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WIND MAY ALSO INCREASE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO
RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..DIAL.. 04/26/2011
$$
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Hazardous Weather Outlook
000
FLUS44 KSHV 191643
HWOSHV
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1143 AM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>012-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-201645-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
1143 AM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING LATE TODAY JUST AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IS FORECAST TO
BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION SO STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING
HOURS ESPECIALLY IN THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH
OF THE REST OF THE WEEK...INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...WIND SHEAR
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED...KEEPING RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER MORE
ISOLATED IN COVERAGE. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS WHICH CAN REACH SEVERE LIMITS. WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO
HAVE THE HIGHEST RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THROUGH
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
FLUS44 KSHV 191643
HWOSHV
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1143 AM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>012-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-201645-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
1143 AM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING LATE TODAY JUST AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IS FORECAST TO
BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION SO STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING
HOURS ESPECIALLY IN THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH
OF THE REST OF THE WEEK...INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...WIND SHEAR
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED...KEEPING RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER MORE
ISOLATED IN COVERAGE. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS WHICH CAN REACH SEVERE LIMITS. WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO
HAVE THE HIGHEST RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THROUGH
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
Day One Convective Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
VALID 191630Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
PARTS OF ERN OK...AR...CNTRL/SRN MO...WRN TN...KY...IL...IND AND WRN
OH...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD
INTO SRN TX...
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIDESPREAD
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...
...OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO ERN OK/AR...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OBSERVED OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE NEWD...CONTRIBUTING TO A CORRIDOR OF 30-60 M
HEIGHT FALLS PER 12-HR AT 500 MB FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH THE
MID MS VALLEY INTO UPPER GREAT LAKES. IN THE LOW-LEVELS...SURFACE
LOW ATTENDANT TO THIS SYSTEM ANALYZED OVER W-CNTRL MO AS OF 16Z WILL
DEVELOP NNEWD TO N OF STL BY 19/21Z...THE IL/IND BORDER NEAR DNV BY
20/03Z TO LAKE ERIE BY 20/12Z. A WARM FRONT WILL PRECEDE THE
LOW...GRADUALLY LIFTING NWD THROUGH IL/IND/OH/PA. TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD...LIKELY EXTENDING FROM SURFACE LOW OVER
CNTRL IL SWWD THROUGH E-CNTRL MO...NWRN AR AND SERN OK BY 20/00Z.
THIS COLD FRONT WILL SERVE AS THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES/EML IN PLACE FROM THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS EWD THROUGH THE
MID/LOWER MS VALLEYS. THESE LAPSE RATES RESIDE ABOVE A MOIST AND
RATHER BROAD WARM SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY PW VALUES OF 1.0-1.5
INCHES AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S. ASIDE FROM ISOLATED
OCCURRENCES OF HAIL N OF WARM FRONT OVER THE OH VALLEY TODAY...A CAP
AT THE BASE OF THE EML IS EXPECTED TO DELAY SURFACE-BASED TSTM
DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL YIELD A MODERATELY TO STRONG UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
TODAY WITH MLCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 1000-2000 J/KG S OF THE WARM
FRONT IN THE OH VALLEY...TO 3000-4000+ J/KG AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FROM
SRN MO INTO ERN OK/WRN AR. FRONTAL UPLIFT COUPLED WITH INCREASED
FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO MIDLEVEL TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO
FOSTER TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY MID AFTERNOON FROM THE VICINITY OF THE
SURFACE LOW OVER CNTRL/E-CNTRL MO SWWD TO ERN OK/WRN AR.
AN ISALLOBARICALLY BACKED WIND FIELD AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW WILL
RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR FROM E-CNTRL MO EWD
THROUGH CNTRL PARTS OF IL/IND. GIVEN MORE DISCRETE STORM MODES
/I.E. SUPERCELLS/...THIS AREA WILL REPRESENT THE GREATEST RISK FOR
TORNADOES /SOME POSSIBLY STRONG/ FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS AND LINE
SEGMENTS ALONG COLD FRONT WITH EVENTUAL UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR
MULTIPLE MCSS/QLCSS. WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCES OF HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS /SOME SIGNIFICANT/ ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
THE WIDE...UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR.
...TX...
TSTM POTENTIAL AND ATTENDANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS MORE UNCERTAIN
WITH SWD EXTENT ALONG THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO WEAK OR
NEGLIGIBLE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT. NONETHELESS...MORNING
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES SUGGEST THAT STRONG DIABATIC HEATING
WILL OCCUR TODAY ALONG AND W OF DRYLINE...BOOSTING SURFACE
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 90S. SHOULD SUFFICIENT HEATING/CONVERGENCE
DEVELOP TO INITIATE ISOLATED STORMS...THE PRESENCE OF MLCAPE VALUES
OF 3000-4000+ J/KG AND 30-40 KT OF DEEP WLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE
OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. ANY STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP
WOULD LIKELY WEAKEN BY LATE EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO
COOL AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION INCREASES.
Friday, April 15, 2011
April 14, 2011 - Tornadoes
000
NOUS44 KSHV 152226
PNSSHV
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-161030-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
526 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...STORM SURVEYS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING DAMAGE RESULTING FROM TORNADOES ON APRIL 14TH...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN MCCURTAIN
COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND FOUND EVIDENCE OF AN EF0 TORNADO NEAR
SMITHVILLE. THE TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN ALONG US 259 SOUTHWEST
OF SMITHVILLE WHERE SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED ON POWER LINES IN
FRONT OF A HOME. THE TORNADO CROSSED US 259 AND SNAPPED A FEW
TREES ALONG THE BANK OF MOUNTAIN FORK RIVER. NEAR THE END OF THE
TRACK...A LARGE TREE WAS SNAPPED OFF ALONG HWY 4 EAST OF
SMITHVILLE AND SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES WERE BROKEN FROM TREES IN
THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65-70 MPH. THE TORNADO
WAS 2.5 MILES LONG AND 75 YARDS WIDE...ON THE GROUND FROM 10:33 PM CDT
THROUGH 10:36 PM CDT.
AN EF0 TORNADO WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 75 YARDS AND 4.5 MILES ALSO
OCCURRED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RINGOLD. NUMEROUS TREES WERE
UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. ONE BARN WAS DESTROYED AND ONE HOME HAD MINOR
ROOF DAMAGE.
A THIRD EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR HOCHATOWN. THE TORNADO FIRST
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG MEADOW LAKE DRIVE IN BEAVER BEND STATE PARK.
SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED WHILE OTHERS HAD THEIR TOPS RIPPED
OFF. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EAST CROSSING COYOTE DRIVE UPROOTING A
FEW TREES IN A CAMPING AREA. THE TORNADO FINALLY LIFTED ALONG THE
SHORELINE OF LAKE BROKEN BOW. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65-70
MPH. THE TORNADO WAS 1.3 MILES LONG AND 75 YARDS WIDE...ON THE
GROUND FROM 11:37 PM CDT TO 11:38 PM CDT.
$$
NOUS44 KSHV 152226
PNSSHV
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-161030-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
526 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
...STORM SURVEYS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING DAMAGE RESULTING FROM TORNADOES ON APRIL 14TH...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN MCCURTAIN
COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND FOUND EVIDENCE OF AN EF0 TORNADO NEAR
SMITHVILLE. THE TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN ALONG US 259 SOUTHWEST
OF SMITHVILLE WHERE SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED ON POWER LINES IN
FRONT OF A HOME. THE TORNADO CROSSED US 259 AND SNAPPED A FEW
TREES ALONG THE BANK OF MOUNTAIN FORK RIVER. NEAR THE END OF THE
TRACK...A LARGE TREE WAS SNAPPED OFF ALONG HWY 4 EAST OF
SMITHVILLE AND SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES WERE BROKEN FROM TREES IN
THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65-70 MPH. THE TORNADO
WAS 2.5 MILES LONG AND 75 YARDS WIDE...ON THE GROUND FROM 10:33 PM CDT
THROUGH 10:36 PM CDT.
AN EF0 TORNADO WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 75 YARDS AND 4.5 MILES ALSO
OCCURRED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RINGOLD. NUMEROUS TREES WERE
UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. ONE BARN WAS DESTROYED AND ONE HOME HAD MINOR
ROOF DAMAGE.
A THIRD EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR HOCHATOWN. THE TORNADO FIRST
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG MEADOW LAKE DRIVE IN BEAVER BEND STATE PARK.
SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED WHILE OTHERS HAD THEIR TOPS RIPPED
OFF. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EAST CROSSING COYOTE DRIVE UPROOTING A
FEW TREES IN A CAMPING AREA. THE TORNADO FINALLY LIFTED ALONG THE
SHORELINE OF LAKE BROKEN BOW. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65-70
MPH. THE TORNADO WAS 1.3 MILES LONG AND 75 YARDS WIDE...ON THE
GROUND FROM 11:37 PM CDT TO 11:38 PM CDT.
$$
Thursday, April 14, 2011
PDS Tornado Watch #135
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SHERMAN
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 134...
DISCUSSION...DRY LINE LOCATED VICINITY I-35 CORRIDOR WITH THE AIR
MASS NOW VERY UNSTABLE EWD ACROSS OK. WITH LITTLE REMAINING
CINH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY OFF THE DRY LINE
AND MOVE THRU A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS. INITIALLY
VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE RISK GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE STRONG UPPER JET MAX APPROACHES TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH POTENTIAL FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS AND STRONG TORNADOES. DRY
LINE VERY LIKELY WILL MOVE LITTLE EWD FROM CURRENT POSITION WITH
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING ON W EDGE OF WATCH INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SHERMAN
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 134...
DISCUSSION...DRY LINE LOCATED VICINITY I-35 CORRIDOR WITH THE AIR
MASS NOW VERY UNSTABLE EWD ACROSS OK. WITH LITTLE REMAINING
CINH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY OFF THE DRY LINE
AND MOVE THRU A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS. INITIALLY
VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE RISK GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THE STRONG UPPER JET MAX APPROACHES TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
WITH POTENTIAL FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS AND STRONG TORNADOES. DRY
LINE VERY LIKELY WILL MOVE LITTLE EWD FROM CURRENT POSITION WITH
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING ON W EDGE OF WATCH INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
National Situation Update: Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Significant National Weather
WestA low pressure system will generate a variety of inclement weather across the Central Great Basin. Snow showers will continue into the evening with snowfall amounts of one or two inches in the valleys. Isolated thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Nevada with wind gusts of up to 50 mph. Also, Critical Fire Weather conditions are forecast across southeast Arizona, southern New Mexico and west Texas throughout the day, due to low relative humidity and gusty winds.MidwestIsolated thunderstorms are forecast from eastern Wyoming to the Great Lakes. Tonight, an area of low pressure will move through the Central Plains bringing snow to northeast Wyoming and most South Dakota. Several inches of snow will be possible, with the heaviest snowfall over central South Dakota.
SouthUnder an area of high pressure, most of the region will remain sunny and dry. Red Flag Warnings will remain in effect through this evening for portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama and southern Georgia, due to low relative humidity and gusty winds.
NortheastA low pressure system moving across the Southern Appalachians will produce moderate to heavy rain as it moves northeastward into New England during the early morning. Periods of light to heavy rain will continue this evening over most . (National Weather Service, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, and various media sources).
Potential Dam Failure in North Dakota
On April 12, the North Dakota State Water Commission reports erosion has been observed at Burlington #1 Dam on the Des Lacs River in Ward County in north central North Dakota. This extra strain has increased the threat of a possible dam failure. There is a moderate to high risk that this dam will fail within the next 24 hours and personnel monitoring the dam were removed for safety reasons.Based on worst case scenario simulations, if the dam was to fail, residents below the dam should expect an additional 2 to 3 foot rise in Water Level. Residents 1 mile below the dam will experience a 1.1 foot increase above current river stage values. This level will likely continue to the confluence between the Des Lacs and the Mouse (Souris).
Local authorities have issued an evacuation order for approximately 50 -100 residences. The ND National Guard and the Game and Fish Department have prepositioned equipment in Minot, ND in anticipation of potential response operations. Also, the Governor has requested that Ward County be added to the Emergency Declaration (FEMA-3318-EM-ND), since the dam is owned and operated by the county. There are no additional requests for FEMA assistance.
Midwest Spring Flooding
Major to minor flooding continues across many of the rivers in the Upper Midwest.Earthquake Activity
On April 13, at 12:28 a.m., EDT, a 5.1 magnitude earthquake occurred 124 miles east-northeast of San Juan, PR at a depth of 19.3 miles. No damages or injuries have been reported and no tsunami was generated. (USGS)Fire Activity
Tuesday, April 12, 2011- National Preparedness Level: 1
- Initial attack activity: Moderate (324 new fires)
- New Large Fires: 7
- Large Fires Contained: 6
- Uncontained Large Fires: 19
- Type 1 IMTs Committed: 1
- Type 2 IMTs Committed: 0
- States affected: CO, NM, TX, OK, MO, GA, KS and FL (NIFC)
Rockhouse Fire (Presido County, TX)
On April 9, a FMAG was approved for the Rockhouse Fire in Presidio County. As of April 12, the fire had burned approximately 108,000 acres and was 60 percent contained. A Type I Incident Management Team assumed command of the fire on April 12.
Disaster Declaration Activity
No new activity Amendment No. 1 to FEMA-1961-DR-MO was approved on April 11, adding Camden County for Public Assistance.(FEMA HQ)
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