000 WWUS74 KSHV 222106 NPWSHV URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 406 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077- TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-230400- /O.EXT.KSHV.HT.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110824T0200Z/ SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE- COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN- UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA- NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE- FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG- HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA- SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE... PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO... SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON... FARMERVILLE...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA...BIENVILLE...JONESBORO... MONROE...MANY...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD...COLFAX...COLUMBIA... JENA...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT... PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...GILMER... JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...HENDERSON... CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE... HEMPHILL 406 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT TUESDAY... THE HEAT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. * TIMING: HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 110 DEGREES EARLY THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACT: THE RISK FOR HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES WILL BE PRESENT... ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WHO WORK OR PLAY OUTDOORS AND FOR THOSE WHO ARE IN INADEQUATELY COOLED BUILDINGS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER. TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL LOCATION. HEAT STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1. $$ 15
Monday, August 22, 2011
SHV extends Heat Advisory
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Haboob
A giant wall of dust rolled through the Phoenix area Monday evening turning the sky brown; creating dangerous driving conditions; and delaying some flights. Arabic word هبوب "strong wind or “phenomenon". A Haboob is an intense sand storm observed in arid regions throughout the world and have been observed in the Sahara Desert; Arabian Peninsula; Kuwait; arid regions of Iraq; Africa; and the arid and semiarid regions of North America. In fact any dry land region could experience a Haboob. In the United States they are frequently observed in the deserts of Arizona, as well as New Mexico; and Texas.
Monday, July 18, 2011
Japan Tsunami Highest Measured
The March 11 tsunami that devastated northeastern Japan has been called the highest ever measured in the nation, following detailed study by scores of researchers.
A maximum wave height of 132.5 feet was determined at the Omoeaneyoshi district of Miyako, in the Iwate prefecture of northeastern Honshu, the Telegraph (UK) reported on Monday.
The former wave height record in this tsunami-prone land was 125.3 feet following the Minami Sanriku Earthquake in 1896, according to the report.
For perspective, the Telegraph gave the 130-foot height of the Rio de Janeiro's famous Cristo Redentor (Christ the Redeemer) statue as a reference.
Also, the Statue of Liberty, above the pedestal and foundation, has a height of 151 feet.
Another catastrophic tsunami, that of 2004 in the Indian Ocean, reached at least 108 feet.
The 150 experts, representing 48 research organizations, gathered data from 5,400 locations along Japan's east coast, according to the Telegraph. Tell-tale marks found on trees and buildings were used in determining the wave height.
The devastating Tohoku tsunami followed a magnitude 9.0 great quake that struck beneath the sea floor off northeastern Honshu.
A maximum wave height of 132.5 feet was determined at the Omoeaneyoshi district of Miyako, in the Iwate prefecture of northeastern Honshu, the Telegraph (UK) reported on Monday.
The former wave height record in this tsunami-prone land was 125.3 feet following the Minami Sanriku Earthquake in 1896, according to the report.
For perspective, the Telegraph gave the 130-foot height of the Rio de Janeiro's famous Cristo Redentor (Christ the Redeemer) statue as a reference.
Also, the Statue of Liberty, above the pedestal and foundation, has a height of 151 feet.
Another catastrophic tsunami, that of 2004 in the Indian Ocean, reached at least 108 feet.
The 150 experts, representing 48 research organizations, gathered data from 5,400 locations along Japan's east coast, according to the Telegraph. Tell-tale marks found on trees and buildings were used in determining the wave height.
The devastating Tohoku tsunami followed a magnitude 9.0 great quake that struck beneath the sea floor off northeastern Honshu.
Saturday, July 16, 2011
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
220 PM CDT SAT JUL 16 2011
...SEVERE AND EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF EAST
TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WITH SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTH
INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SYNOPSIS...
THE HEAT WAVE CONTINUES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION...AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS FOR MUCH OF THE MONTH. THERE HAS BEEN ONLY LIMITED RELIEF FROM THE HEAT
IN THE FORM OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH HAVE BEEN
MORE NUMEROUS IN RECENT DAYS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA. MOST LOCALES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE
RECORDED AT LEAST 10 DAYS WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED/EXCEEDED 100
DEGREES...WITH TYLER AND LONGVIEW TEXAS HAVING OBSERVED 18 AND 16 CONSECUTIVE
DAYS (RESPECTIVELY) SINCE LATE JUNE WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED/EXCEEDED
THE CENTURY MARK. THIS STREAK IS FAST APPROACHING THE ALL-TIME RECORD OF 20
AND 21 DAYS (RESPECTIVELY) OF CONSECUTIVE NUMBER OF 100+ DEGREE DAYS...WITH
THESE TWO OBSERVING STATIONS ALSO ON TRACK TO SET THE HOTTEST JULYS AND MONTHS
EVER ON RECORD. THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE LED TO
COUNTY/PARISHWIDE BURN BANS OVER ALL OF NORTH LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...EXCEPT FOR RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS AND
MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA. WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE QUITE EXTENSIVE ACROSS
NORTH LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS...WITH A WATER EMERGENCY HAVING BEEN DECLARED
FOR SABINE PARISH IN WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA...AS MUCH OF THE PARISH DRAWS WATER
FROM TOLEDO BEND RESERVOIR...WHICH IS SOME 10 FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
STAGE. THE CURRENT POOL STAGE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT FOR THE WATER PUMPS TO
DRAW WATER FROM TOLEDO BEND INTO THE PARISH...WITH A TOTAL RELIANCE NOW ON
SMALLER WATER WELLS.
MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS THUS FAR THIS JULY HAVE RANGED FROM A PALTRY TENTH
OF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST
TEXAS...TO UP TO AN INCH ELSEWHERE ACROSS EAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. TOTALS FARTHER EAST IMPROVE ONLY SLIGHTLY...WITH
TWO TO THREE PLUS INCH AMOUNTS NOTED ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST OF AN EL DORADO
ARKANSAS...TO RUSTON AND NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA LINE. AS A RESULT...A SLOW
DEGRADATION CONTINUES IN THE ONGOING DROUGHT...WITH EXCEPTIONAL (D4) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS...EAST OF A HALLSVILLE...TO
SAN AUGUSTINE LINE...INTO WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA SOUTH OF A KEITHVILLE...TO
HALL SUMMIT...TO ATLANTA AND COLFAX LINE. EXTREME (D3) AND SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ALSO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND HAS ALSO SPREAD NORTH INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE OPPRESSIVELY HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE TO HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AND THE EXCESSIVELY HOT TEMPERATURES THIS
MONTH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN LOUISIANA HAS NOT IMPROVED THE AGRICULTURAL
CONDITIONS...WITH VERY WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES EVAPORATING OUT WHAT AVAILABLE
SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS. A MINIMUM AMOUNT OF HAY HAS BEEN CUT SO FAR THIS
SEASON...WITH MANY PRODUCERS CULLING HERDS AND SELLING CALVES. OTHER
FARMERS NOT SELLING THEIR LIVESTOCK WERE PROVIDING SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO THEIR
HERDS. POND AND LAKE LEVELS ALSO CONTINUED TO DROP...AND REMAIN LOW ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION.
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES AND PARISHES IN NORTH
LOUISIANA...NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS EXCEPT FOR RED RIVER
COUNTY TEXAS AND MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA.
CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
MANDATORY WATER RATIONING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH DESOTO...KEATCHIE...
AND SOUTH CLAIBORNE PARISH WATER SYSTEMS IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE. MANDATORY WATER RATIONING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY OF MANY
LOUISIANA AND FOR MUCH OF SABINE PARISH...AS LEVELS AT TOLEDO BEND LAKE...THE
PARISH'S PRIMARY WATER SUPPLY...HAS FALLEN TO NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE WATER
PUMPS. THE PARISH IS NOW HAVING TO RELY ON SMALLER WELLS THROUGHOUT THE PARISH
FOR THEIR WATER SUPPLY. THE PLEASURE POINT AND THE FOUR WAY WATER SYSTEMS IN
ANGELINA COUNTY TEXAS...REMAIN UNDER A MILD RATIONING OF WATER UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE. IN ADDITION...THE MURVAUL (PANOLA COUNTY)...LAKE HARBOR SUBDIVISION
(SMITH COUNTY)...HUXLEY (SHELBY)...MELROSE (NACOGDOCHES)...BLAND LAKE/SAN
AUGUSTINE (SAN AUGUSTINE)...AND HEMPHILL/EL CAMINO BAY/PENDLETON (SABINE
COUNTY) WATER SYSTEMS...HAVE ALSO INSTITUTED RATIONING OF WATER UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RUN MUCH BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
THE REGION THROUGH MID JULY...ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINFALL HAS ALLOWED FOR
MONTHLY TOTALS TO NEAR OR EXCEED NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST OF AN EL DORADO
ARKANSAS...TO RUSTON AND NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA LINE. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE
JULY MONTHLY RAINFALL...THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND PERCENTAGES OF
NORMAL...FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: JULY 2011 DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE
RAINFALL FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL
(THROUGH 7/15/11)
SHREVEPORT LA 0.92 -1.21 43%
SHREVEPORT LA 0.91 -1.22 43%
(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)
MONROE LA 1.39 -0.43 76%
NATCHITOCHES LA 5.26 +3.56 309%
COLUMBIA LA 0.73 -1.26 37%
TEXARKANA AR 0.70 -1.36 34%
EL DORADO AR 1.17 -0.99 54%
HOPE 3NE AR 1.00 -0.96 51%
PRESCOTT 2NNW AR 0.10 -2.26 4%
DEQUEEN AR 0.42 -1.77 19%
MT. PLEASANT TX 0.00 -2.08 0%
TYLER TX 0.05 -1.09 4%
LONGVIEW TX 1.04 -0.67 61%
LUFKIN TX 1.41 +0.09 107%
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...
MT. HERMAN 0.42 -1.82 19%
BROKEN BOW 0.01 -2.23 0%
IDABEL 0.01 -1.92 1%
THE VERY DRY SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND ONLY SPORADIC RAINFALL THROUGHOUT
THE MONTH HAVE LED TO VERY WARM FOUR INCH SOIL TEMPERATURES...WITH READINGS
WELL INTO THE 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION.
THIS HAS CONTRIBUTED IN THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT EACH AFTERNOON THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF THE MONTH. THIS IS ALSO RESULTING IN MUCH ABOVE NORMAL AVERAGE MONTHLY
TEMPERATURES...WITH MANY LOCATIONS RANKING WITHIN THE TOP 5 WARMEST JULYS ON
RECORD. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE JULY MONTHLY TEMPERATURES...THEIR DEPARTURES
FROM NORMAL...AND HOW THEY RANK AS WARMEST JUNES ON RECORD...FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: JULY 2011 DEPARTURE RANKING FOR WARMEST
AVG. TEMPERATURE FROM NORMAL JULY ON RECORD
(THROUGH 7/15/11)
SHREVEPORT LA 88.0 +5.2 T2ND
NOTE: CURRENTLY TIED WITH JULY 1884 FOR 2ND WARMEST JULY ON RECORD. 1998
RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE
OF 88.5 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1872.
MONROE LA 88.0 +5.0 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKED AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD AHEAD OF JULY 1980 WITH
AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 87.2 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1930.
TEXARKANA AR 87.6 +5.3 2ND
NOTE: JULY 1980 RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY
TEMPERATURE OF 88.0 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1892.
EL DORADO AR 85.9 +4.3 5TH
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 5TH WARMEST JULY ON RECORD BEHIND 1930
(87.1 DEGREES), 1998 (86.5 DEGREES), 1934 AND 1954 (86.0 DEGREES).
RECORDS SINCE 1905.
DEQUEEN AR 85.7 +5.3 4TH
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 4TH WARMEST JULY ON RECORD BEHIND 1998
(86.9 DEGREES), 1954 (86.4 DEGREES), AND 1978 (86.2 DEGREES). RECORDS
SINCE 1936.
TYLER TX 90.8 +8.0 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY AND MONTH EVER ON RECORD, AHEAD OF
JULY 1998 (89.7 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1896.
LONGVIEW TX 89.8 +6.8 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY AND MONTH EVER ON RECORD, AHEAD OF
JULY 1998 (89.4 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1902.
LUFKIN TX 87.5 +5.3 2ND
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 2ND WARMEST JULY ON RECORD, BEHIND 1998
(87.7 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1949.
THE LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS CONTINUE TO INCREASE GIVEN THE MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION THIS SUMMER.
DROUGHT DETERIORATION HAS NOW SPREAD INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND
ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS RECORDING ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS UP TO
A HALF INCH FOR THE MONTH. BELOW IS A LIST OF RAINFALL TOTALS FROM MARCH 2010
THROUGH MID JULY...THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND THEIR PERCENTAGES OF
NORMAL...FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: MARCH '10 - JULY '11 DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE
(THROUGH 7/15/11) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL
SHREVEPORT LA 42.26 -29.84 59%
SHREVEPORT LA 42.93 -29.17 60%
(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)
MONROE LA 64.09 -5.26 92%
NATCHITOCHES LA 45.98 -27.47 63%
COLUMBIA LA 44.38 -40.31 52%
TEXARKANA AR 41.84 -23.88 64%
EL DORADO AR 43.38 -33.26 57%
HOPE 3NE AR 49.30 -27.19 64%
PRESCOTT 2NNW AR 51.00 -26.23 66%
DEQUEEN AR 46.89 -29.69 61%
MT. PLEASANT TX 39.62 -25.32 61%
TYLER TX 38.75 -23.43 62%
LONGVIEW TX 36.84 -31.90 54%
LUFKIN TX 43.10 -20.97 67%
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...
MT. HERMAN 55.87 -22.87 71%
BROKEN BOW 61.72 -17.02 78%
IDABEL 50.73 -21.43 70%
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THE HEAT WAVE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE AT LEAST
THE THIRD WEEK OF JULY...AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NATION'S MIDSECTION THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.
WEAKNESSES LOCATED BENEATH THE RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL YIELD WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
WEEKEND AND MONDAY ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
20...WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH AND REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST TUESDAY THROUGH MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK...WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO NEAR/EXCEED 100 DEGREES
EACH DAY.
THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER...ISSUED
BY CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...INDICATES GREATER PROBABILITIES
FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA.
EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL/NORMAL/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY INDICATED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE
THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK THROUGH SEPTEMBER INDICATES EQUAL
PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL/NORMAL/BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
ALL OF THE FOUR STATE REGION.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
POOL STAGES ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL...GIVEN THE EXCESSIVELY HOT
TEMPERATURES...INCREASED EVAPORATION...AND LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS THESE
WATERSHEDS. POOL STAGES HAVE FALLEN TO SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL
ACROSS THESE AREAS...WITH CONTINUED DETERIORATION NOTED ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND
NORTH LOUISIANA. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN
GRADUALLY FALLING RESERVOIR LEVELS...WITH LAKE TAWAKONI...LAKE FORK...MARTIN
LAKE...LAKE NACOGDOCHES...LAKE TYLER...SAM RAYBURN LAKE...AND TOLEDO BEND
REMAINING SOME FOUR TO TEN FEET BELOW NORMAL. A GRADUAL DETERIORATION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY EARLY AUGUST.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
220 PM CDT SAT JUL 16 2011
...SEVERE AND EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF EAST
TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WITH SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTH
INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SYNOPSIS...
THE HEAT WAVE CONTINUES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION...AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS FOR MUCH OF THE MONTH. THERE HAS BEEN ONLY LIMITED RELIEF FROM THE HEAT
IN THE FORM OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH HAVE BEEN
MORE NUMEROUS IN RECENT DAYS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA. MOST LOCALES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE
RECORDED AT LEAST 10 DAYS WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED/EXCEEDED 100
DEGREES...WITH TYLER AND LONGVIEW TEXAS HAVING OBSERVED 18 AND 16 CONSECUTIVE
DAYS (RESPECTIVELY) SINCE LATE JUNE WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED/EXCEEDED
THE CENTURY MARK. THIS STREAK IS FAST APPROACHING THE ALL-TIME RECORD OF 20
AND 21 DAYS (RESPECTIVELY) OF CONSECUTIVE NUMBER OF 100+ DEGREE DAYS...WITH
THESE TWO OBSERVING STATIONS ALSO ON TRACK TO SET THE HOTTEST JULYS AND MONTHS
EVER ON RECORD. THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE LED TO
COUNTY/PARISHWIDE BURN BANS OVER ALL OF NORTH LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...EXCEPT FOR RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS AND
MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA. WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE QUITE EXTENSIVE ACROSS
NORTH LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS...WITH A WATER EMERGENCY HAVING BEEN DECLARED
FOR SABINE PARISH IN WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA...AS MUCH OF THE PARISH DRAWS WATER
FROM TOLEDO BEND RESERVOIR...WHICH IS SOME 10 FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
STAGE. THE CURRENT POOL STAGE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT FOR THE WATER PUMPS TO
DRAW WATER FROM TOLEDO BEND INTO THE PARISH...WITH A TOTAL RELIANCE NOW ON
SMALLER WATER WELLS.
MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS THUS FAR THIS JULY HAVE RANGED FROM A PALTRY TENTH
OF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST
TEXAS...TO UP TO AN INCH ELSEWHERE ACROSS EAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. TOTALS FARTHER EAST IMPROVE ONLY SLIGHTLY...WITH
TWO TO THREE PLUS INCH AMOUNTS NOTED ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST OF AN EL DORADO
ARKANSAS...TO RUSTON AND NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA LINE. AS A RESULT...A SLOW
DEGRADATION CONTINUES IN THE ONGOING DROUGHT...WITH EXCEPTIONAL (D4) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS...EAST OF A HALLSVILLE...TO
SAN AUGUSTINE LINE...INTO WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA SOUTH OF A KEITHVILLE...TO
HALL SUMMIT...TO ATLANTA AND COLFAX LINE. EXTREME (D3) AND SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ALSO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND HAS ALSO SPREAD NORTH INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE OPPRESSIVELY HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE TO HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AND THE EXCESSIVELY HOT TEMPERATURES THIS
MONTH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN LOUISIANA HAS NOT IMPROVED THE AGRICULTURAL
CONDITIONS...WITH VERY WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES EVAPORATING OUT WHAT AVAILABLE
SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS. A MINIMUM AMOUNT OF HAY HAS BEEN CUT SO FAR THIS
SEASON...WITH MANY PRODUCERS CULLING HERDS AND SELLING CALVES. OTHER
FARMERS NOT SELLING THEIR LIVESTOCK WERE PROVIDING SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO THEIR
HERDS. POND AND LAKE LEVELS ALSO CONTINUED TO DROP...AND REMAIN LOW ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION.
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES AND PARISHES IN NORTH
LOUISIANA...NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS EXCEPT FOR RED RIVER
COUNTY TEXAS AND MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA.
CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
MANDATORY WATER RATIONING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH DESOTO...KEATCHIE...
AND SOUTH CLAIBORNE PARISH WATER SYSTEMS IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE. MANDATORY WATER RATIONING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY OF MANY
LOUISIANA AND FOR MUCH OF SABINE PARISH...AS LEVELS AT TOLEDO BEND LAKE...THE
PARISH'S PRIMARY WATER SUPPLY...HAS FALLEN TO NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE WATER
PUMPS. THE PARISH IS NOW HAVING TO RELY ON SMALLER WELLS THROUGHOUT THE PARISH
FOR THEIR WATER SUPPLY. THE PLEASURE POINT AND THE FOUR WAY WATER SYSTEMS IN
ANGELINA COUNTY TEXAS...REMAIN UNDER A MILD RATIONING OF WATER UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE. IN ADDITION...THE MURVAUL (PANOLA COUNTY)...LAKE HARBOR SUBDIVISION
(SMITH COUNTY)...HUXLEY (SHELBY)...MELROSE (NACOGDOCHES)...BLAND LAKE/SAN
AUGUSTINE (SAN AUGUSTINE)...AND HEMPHILL/EL CAMINO BAY/PENDLETON (SABINE
COUNTY) WATER SYSTEMS...HAVE ALSO INSTITUTED RATIONING OF WATER UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO RUN MUCH BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
THE REGION THROUGH MID JULY...ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINFALL HAS ALLOWED FOR
MONTHLY TOTALS TO NEAR OR EXCEED NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...EAST OF AN EL DORADO
ARKANSAS...TO RUSTON AND NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA LINE. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE
JULY MONTHLY RAINFALL...THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND PERCENTAGES OF
NORMAL...FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: JULY 2011 DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE
RAINFALL FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL
(THROUGH 7/15/11)
SHREVEPORT LA 0.92 -1.21 43%
SHREVEPORT LA 0.91 -1.22 43%
(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)
MONROE LA 1.39 -0.43 76%
NATCHITOCHES LA 5.26 +3.56 309%
COLUMBIA LA 0.73 -1.26 37%
TEXARKANA AR 0.70 -1.36 34%
EL DORADO AR 1.17 -0.99 54%
HOPE 3NE AR 1.00 -0.96 51%
PRESCOTT 2NNW AR 0.10 -2.26 4%
DEQUEEN AR 0.42 -1.77 19%
MT. PLEASANT TX 0.00 -2.08 0%
TYLER TX 0.05 -1.09 4%
LONGVIEW TX 1.04 -0.67 61%
LUFKIN TX 1.41 +0.09 107%
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...
MT. HERMAN 0.42 -1.82 19%
BROKEN BOW 0.01 -2.23 0%
IDABEL 0.01 -1.92 1%
THE VERY DRY SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND ONLY SPORADIC RAINFALL THROUGHOUT
THE MONTH HAVE LED TO VERY WARM FOUR INCH SOIL TEMPERATURES...WITH READINGS
WELL INTO THE 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION.
THIS HAS CONTRIBUTED IN THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT EACH AFTERNOON THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF THE MONTH. THIS IS ALSO RESULTING IN MUCH ABOVE NORMAL AVERAGE MONTHLY
TEMPERATURES...WITH MANY LOCATIONS RANKING WITHIN THE TOP 5 WARMEST JULYS ON
RECORD. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE JULY MONTHLY TEMPERATURES...THEIR DEPARTURES
FROM NORMAL...AND HOW THEY RANK AS WARMEST JUNES ON RECORD...FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: JULY 2011 DEPARTURE RANKING FOR WARMEST
AVG. TEMPERATURE FROM NORMAL JULY ON RECORD
(THROUGH 7/15/11)
SHREVEPORT LA 88.0 +5.2 T2ND
NOTE: CURRENTLY TIED WITH JULY 1884 FOR 2ND WARMEST JULY ON RECORD. 1998
RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE
OF 88.5 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1872.
MONROE LA 88.0 +5.0 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKED AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD AHEAD OF JULY 1980 WITH
AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 87.2 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1930.
TEXARKANA AR 87.6 +5.3 2ND
NOTE: JULY 1980 RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY ON RECORD WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY
TEMPERATURE OF 88.0 DEGREES. RECORDS SINCE 1892.
EL DORADO AR 85.9 +4.3 5TH
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 5TH WARMEST JULY ON RECORD BEHIND 1930
(87.1 DEGREES), 1998 (86.5 DEGREES), 1934 AND 1954 (86.0 DEGREES).
RECORDS SINCE 1905.
DEQUEEN AR 85.7 +5.3 4TH
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 4TH WARMEST JULY ON RECORD BEHIND 1998
(86.9 DEGREES), 1954 (86.4 DEGREES), AND 1978 (86.2 DEGREES). RECORDS
SINCE 1936.
TYLER TX 90.8 +8.0 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY AND MONTH EVER ON RECORD, AHEAD OF
JULY 1998 (89.7 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1896.
LONGVIEW TX 89.8 +6.8 1ST
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE WARMEST JULY AND MONTH EVER ON RECORD, AHEAD OF
JULY 1998 (89.4 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1902.
LUFKIN TX 87.5 +5.3 2ND
NOTE: CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 2ND WARMEST JULY ON RECORD, BEHIND 1998
(87.7 DEGREES). RECORDS SINCE 1949.
THE LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS CONTINUE TO INCREASE GIVEN THE MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION THIS SUMMER.
DROUGHT DETERIORATION HAS NOW SPREAD INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND
ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS RECORDING ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS UP TO
A HALF INCH FOR THE MONTH. BELOW IS A LIST OF RAINFALL TOTALS FROM MARCH 2010
THROUGH MID JULY...THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND THEIR PERCENTAGES OF
NORMAL...FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:
CITY: MARCH '10 - JULY '11 DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE
(THROUGH 7/15/11) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL
SHREVEPORT LA 42.26 -29.84 59%
SHREVEPORT LA 42.93 -29.17 60%
(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)
MONROE LA 64.09 -5.26 92%
NATCHITOCHES LA 45.98 -27.47 63%
COLUMBIA LA 44.38 -40.31 52%
TEXARKANA AR 41.84 -23.88 64%
EL DORADO AR 43.38 -33.26 57%
HOPE 3NE AR 49.30 -27.19 64%
PRESCOTT 2NNW AR 51.00 -26.23 66%
DEQUEEN AR 46.89 -29.69 61%
MT. PLEASANT TX 39.62 -25.32 61%
TYLER TX 38.75 -23.43 62%
LONGVIEW TX 36.84 -31.90 54%
LUFKIN TX 43.10 -20.97 67%
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...
MT. HERMAN 55.87 -22.87 71%
BROKEN BOW 61.72 -17.02 78%
IDABEL 50.73 -21.43 70%
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
THE HEAT WAVE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH THE AT LEAST
THE THIRD WEEK OF JULY...AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NATION'S MIDSECTION THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.
WEAKNESSES LOCATED BENEATH THE RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL YIELD WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
WEEKEND AND MONDAY ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
20...WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH AND REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST TUESDAY THROUGH MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK...WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO NEAR/EXCEED 100 DEGREES
EACH DAY.
THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER...ISSUED
BY CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...INDICATES GREATER PROBABILITIES
FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA.
EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL/NORMAL/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY INDICATED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE
THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK THROUGH SEPTEMBER INDICATES EQUAL
PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL/NORMAL/BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
ALL OF THE FOUR STATE REGION.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
POOL STAGES ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL...GIVEN THE EXCESSIVELY HOT
TEMPERATURES...INCREASED EVAPORATION...AND LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS THESE
WATERSHEDS. POOL STAGES HAVE FALLEN TO SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL
ACROSS THESE AREAS...WITH CONTINUED DETERIORATION NOTED ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND
NORTH LOUISIANA. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN
GRADUALLY FALLING RESERVOIR LEVELS...WITH LAKE TAWAKONI...LAKE FORK...MARTIN
LAKE...LAKE NACOGDOCHES...LAKE TYLER...SAM RAYBURN LAKE...AND TOLEDO BEND
REMAINING SOME FOUR TO TEN FEET BELOW NORMAL. A GRADUAL DETERIORATION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY EARLY AUGUST.
Wednesday, June 1, 2011
First Day of Hurricane Season
000
ABNT20 KNHC 011138
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
THE LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT MOVES OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH
WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30. LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF
NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 11...6...AND
2...RESPECTIVELY.
THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2011 IS AS FOLLOWS:
NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION
-------------------------------------------------------------
ARLENE AR LEEN- LEE LEE
BRET BRET MARIA MUH REE- UH
CINDY SIN- DEE NATE NAIT
DON DAHN OPHELIA O FEEL- YA
EMILY EH- MIH LEE PHILIPPE FEE LEEP-
FRANKLIN FRANK- LIN RINA REE- NUH
GERT GERT SEAN SHAWN
HARVEY HAR- VEE TAMMY TAM- EE
IRENE EYE REEN- VINCE VINSS
JOSE HO ZAY- WHITNEY WHIT- NEE
KATIA KA TEE- AH
THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE ISSUANCE
TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT ARE 2 AM...8 AM...2 PM...AND 8 PM EDT.
AFTER THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES
ARE 1 AM...7 AM...1 PM...AND 7 PM EST.
A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE UPDATES
...AS NECESSARY...IN BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED ISSUANCES OF
THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS
WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE REGULAR
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS.
A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...
AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS
FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY
PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT
UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUAT1-5.
ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. SIGN UP FOR PRODUCT
UPDATES BY EMAIL AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/SIGNUP.SHTML...IN ALL LOWER
CASE. YOU CAN ALSO INTERACT WITH US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NOAA.NATIONALHURRICANECENTER.GOV.
ABNT20 KNHC 011138
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
THE LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT MOVES OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH
WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30. LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF
NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 11...6...AND
2...RESPECTIVELY.
THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2011 IS AS FOLLOWS:
NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION
-------------------------------------------------------------
ARLENE AR LEEN- LEE LEE
BRET BRET MARIA MUH REE- UH
CINDY SIN- DEE NATE NAIT
DON DAHN OPHELIA O FEEL- YA
EMILY EH- MIH LEE PHILIPPE FEE LEEP-
FRANKLIN FRANK- LIN RINA REE- NUH
GERT GERT SEAN SHAWN
HARVEY HAR- VEE TAMMY TAM- EE
IRENE EYE REEN- VINCE VINSS
JOSE HO ZAY- WHITNEY WHIT- NEE
KATIA KA TEE- AH
THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE ISSUANCE
TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT ARE 2 AM...8 AM...2 PM...AND 8 PM EDT.
AFTER THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES
ARE 1 AM...7 AM...1 PM...AND 7 PM EST.
A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE UPDATES
...AS NECESSARY...IN BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED ISSUANCES OF
THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS
WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE REGULAR
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS.
A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...
AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS
FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY
PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT
UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUAT1-5.
ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. SIGN UP FOR PRODUCT
UPDATES BY EMAIL AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/SIGNUP.SHTML...IN ALL LOWER
CASE. YOU CAN ALSO INTERACT WITH US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NOAA.NATIONALHURRICANECENTER.GOV.
Monday, May 23, 2011
National Hurricane Center’s WX4NHC Schedules On-The-Air Station Test
The annual WX4NHC On-the-Air Station Test from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami will take place Saturday, June 4, 1300-2100 UTC (9 AM – 5 PM EDT). “The purpose of this annual station test is to test all of our radio equipment, computers and antennas using as many modes and frequencies as possible in preparation for this year’s hurricane season,” said WX4NHC Assistant Amateur Radio Volunteer Coordinator Julio Ripoll, WD4R. “This is not a contest or simulated hurricane exercise.”
WX4NHC will be on the air on HF, VHF and UHF, plus 2 and 30 meter APRS. Suggested SSB frequencies are 3.950, 7.268, 14.325, 21.325 and 28.525 MHz, +/-QRM. Ripoll said that WX4NHC will mostly be on 14.325 MHz, but will make announcements when the station changes frequencies. WX4NHC also will be on the VoIP Hurricane Net 1700-1900 UTC (IRLP node 9219/EchoLink WX-TALK Conference) and on South Florida area VHF/UHF repeaters and simplex. Stations looking to participate in the annual station test may be able WX4NHC on HF by using one of the DX spotting networks, such as the DX Summit website.
Stations working WX4NHC exchange call sign, signal report, location and name, plus a brief weather report, such as “sunny,” “rain” or “cloudy.” Non-hams may submit their actual weather using the On-Line Hurricane Report Form. QSL cards will be available. QSL via WD4R and include a self-addressed, stamped envelope. Do not send cards to the NHC. Due to security measures, no visitors will be allowed at NHC during the test.
The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season begins Wednesday, June 1 and goes through November 30. According to the NHC, forecasters are calling for an “above average” hurricane season this year.
WX4NHC will be on the air on HF, VHF and UHF, plus 2 and 30 meter APRS. Suggested SSB frequencies are 3.950, 7.268, 14.325, 21.325 and 28.525 MHz, +/-QRM. Ripoll said that WX4NHC will mostly be on 14.325 MHz, but will make announcements when the station changes frequencies. WX4NHC also will be on the VoIP Hurricane Net 1700-1900 UTC (IRLP node 9219/EchoLink WX-TALK Conference) and on South Florida area VHF/UHF repeaters and simplex. Stations looking to participate in the annual station test may be able WX4NHC on HF by using one of the DX spotting networks, such as the DX Summit website.
Stations working WX4NHC exchange call sign, signal report, location and name, plus a brief weather report, such as “sunny,” “rain” or “cloudy.” Non-hams may submit their actual weather using the On-Line Hurricane Report Form. QSL cards will be available. QSL via WD4R and include a self-addressed, stamped envelope. Do not send cards to the NHC. Due to security measures, no visitors will be allowed at NHC during the test.
The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season begins Wednesday, June 1 and goes through November 30. According to the NHC, forecasters are calling for an “above average” hurricane season this year.
2011 tornado information
Preliminary tornado statistics including records set in 2011
May 2011- The May 22, Joplin, Missouri tornado, with an estimated 89 fatalities, is the highest death toll from a single tornado since the 1953 tornado that hit Worcester, Mass., which caused 90 fatalities on June 9, 1953.
NOAA satellite shows storm system moments before spawning tornado in Joplin, Mo.
(Credit: NOAA)
- If the fatalities exceed 90, the Joplin tornado will become the deadliest since Flint, Michigan (116 fatalities - June 8, 1953).
- National Weather Service's (NWS) preliminary estimate is more than 100 tornadoes have occurred during the month of May 2011.
The record number of tornadoes during the month of May was 542 tornadoes set in May 2003.
The average number of tornadoes for the month of May during the past decade is 298.Deadliest Tornado Years in US History
(Official NOAA-NWS Record: 1950 - present; Research by Grazulis: 1875-1949)1925 794 1936 552 1917 551 1927 540 1896 537 1953 519 1920 499 1908 477 2011 454 (365 + 89 estimated Joplin fatalities as of May 23) 1909 404 1932 394 1942 384 1924 376 1974 366 1933 362
- May is historically the most active month for tornadoes. 2011 Year-to-Date (and record annual) Statistics
- NWS’s preliminary estimate is that there have been approximately 1,000 tornadoes so far this year.
- The previous yearly record number of tornadoes was set in 2004 with 1,817.
- The overall yearly average number of tornadoes for the past decade is 1,274.
- The preliminary estimated number of tornado fatalities so far this year is 454. NWS records indicate that there were 365 tornado fatalities before the Joplin tornado. Media reports currently indicate 89 fatalities in the Joplin event.
- The US tornado death toll is the highest ever through the month of May in the NOAA-NWS official record (1950-present).
- The highest recorded annual death toll from tornadoes in the NOAA-NWS official record (1950-present) was set in 1953 with 519 fatalities.
- April 2011 set a new record for the month with 875 tornadoes.
- The previous record was set in April 1974 with 267 tornadoes.
- The average number of tornadoes for the month of April during the past decade is 161.
- The previous record number of tornadoes during any month was 542 tornadoes set in May 2003.
- NWS records indicate 321 people were killed during the April 25-28 tornado outbreak.
- NWS records indicate 361 people were killed during the entire month of April 2011
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