Monday, March 7, 2011

Hazardous Weather Outlook

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EMERGE OUT INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY...WITH GULF MOISTURE QUICKLY
RETURNING NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON OVER
EAST TEXAS...NORTH LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTH OF AN
ADVANCING WARM FRONT...AND AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
THAT WILL EJECT NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. WHILE ORGANIZED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING OR AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE REGION...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. BY TUESDAY NIGHT...A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME EASTERN
TEXAS...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AS THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EJECTS
NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE OVER SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND TO THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF EAST TEXAS...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AND FORCING REMAINS QUESTIONABLE ACROSS
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
REMAINS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CONTINUE FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT POSSIBLE AS WELL...IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT...BUT WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

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